Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:30:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xccdd…2310
crypto · 24 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$459 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$459 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$459
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses7 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)24 / 24
History coverage62d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$438
7 days−$438
14 days−$438
30 days−$438
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 13 $466 −$58 -12%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 13 $525 −$383 -73%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Apr 29 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Apr 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -93%
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Apr 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of Apr 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 96% −$444
crypto 2% +$1
other 1% −$11
sports 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $5 19h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL No 2¢ $8 20h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 1¢ $9 20h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 6¢ $7 3d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY No 20¢ $93 5d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 66¢ $395 5d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 62¢ $113 5d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 54¢ $102 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL No 45¢ $380 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY No 25¢ $88 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +23.0% +11.3% 43% 43% -48.8%
≤30d 14 +23.0% +11.3% 43% 43% -48.8%
≤90d 24 -23.0% -30.3% 29% 29% -49.3%
all 24 -23.0% -30.3% 29% 29% -49.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.3% 29% -49.3%
10% -37.0% 29% -54.2%
15% -43.1% 21% -58.6%
20% -48.6% 17% -62.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 51 history records