trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $973 | $973 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 24 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $996 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 17 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 16 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 16 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 14 | $777 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 14 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 14 | $738 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 14 | $734 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 12 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 | May 12 | $786 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 12 | $809 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 12 | $797 | −$9 | -1% |
| Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec genera | May 11 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 11 | $797 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 11 | $774 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 11 | $790 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 06 | $177 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 06 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 06 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 01 | $201 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 01 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 27 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $79 | $0 | -0% |