trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -50.7% | -55.4% | 33% | 33% | -76.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -63.0% | -66.6% | 25% | 25% | -77.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -39.8% | -45.5% | 36% | 36% | -55.7% |
| all | 14 | -39.8% | -45.5% | 36% | 36% | -55.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.5% | 36% | -55.7% |
| 10% | -50.7% | 21% | -59.9% |
| 15% | -55.5% | 14% | -63.8% |
| 20% | -59.8% | 7% | -67.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 22¢ | $188 | $192 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 17 | $66 | +$15 | +23% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Jun 14 | $809 | −$609 | -75% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 23 | $69 | −$67 | -97% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | May 01 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Apr 30 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April? | Apr 29 | $257 | −$255 | -99% |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | Apr 29 | $260 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | Apr 28 | $101 | +$17 | +17% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | Apr 28 | $101 | +$15 | +15% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Apr 28 | $102 | +$125 | +122% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 22 | $1,084 | −$1,084 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 14 | $626 | +$258 | +41% |