Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xccd6…4735
crypto · 203 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$692 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$678 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$930
Realized+$678
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses133 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)199 / 203
History coverage546d
Avg bet$322
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$0
14 days+$173
30 days+$189
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $452 $452 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 99¢ $200 $200 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 88¢ 94¢ $176 $189 +$13 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 88¢ 90¢ $88 $90 +$2 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Jun 11 $87 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 11 $201 +$10 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 11 $44 −$1 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 11 $88 +$4 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Jun 11 $357 −$36 -10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $180 +$3 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 07 $154 +$19 +13%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $182 +$118 +65%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $200 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 4? Jun 05 $200 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 4? Jun 05 $20 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 03 $240 +$22 +9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 03 $275 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31? Jun 01 $359 +$2 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? Jun 01 $95 +$5 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? Jun 01 $1,524 +$25 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 27? May 28 $266 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27? May 28 $9 +$1 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 27? May 28 $82 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 27? May 27 $8 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 26? May 27 $190 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 26? May 27 $157 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? May 26 $201 −$2 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26? May 26 $156 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31? May 26 $155 −$3 -2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24? May 25 $159 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21? May 22 $165 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 20? May 21 $163 +$2 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 20 $167 −$5 -3%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? May 20 $209 +$17 +8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? May 19 $627 −$26 -4%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? May 18 $962 +$22 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17? May 15 $76 +$4 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10? May 11 $180 +$20 +11%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? May 03 $164 +$6 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? May 01 $1,089 −$31 -3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? May 01 $369 +$9 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 28? Apr 29 $284 +$3 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 26? Apr 27 $303 +$5 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26? Apr 26 $740 −$11 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26? Apr 25 $284 +$17 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? Apr 25 $115 +$3 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? Apr 22 $546 −$9 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19? Apr 21 $306 +$5 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19? Apr 20 $603 +$36 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 16? Apr 17 $2 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 13-19? Apr 15 $99 +$3 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? Apr 12 $490 −$13 -3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? Apr 12 $4 $0 +7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? Apr 08 $150 −$6 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$763
sports 3% −$2
economics 2% +$7
world 1% +$5
other 0% −$80
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $452 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $200 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? BUY No 88¢ $88 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 87¢ $82 31h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 87¢ $1 32h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL No 95¢ $5 32h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 87¢ $3 32h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL No 95¢ $66 33h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL No 95¢ $141 34h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? SELL Yes 43¢ $43 35h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 92¢ $92 37h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? BUY No 87¢ $87 38h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 71¢ $209 38h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? BUY No 98¢ $180 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 88¢ $88 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY Yes 63¢ $63 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY Yes 72¢ $144 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? BUY Yes 44¢ $44 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 88¢ $176 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? BUY No 90¢ $201 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL Yes 64¢ $49 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 60¢ $15 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 60¢ $3 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 60¢ $28 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL Yes 64¢ $124 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 56¢ $32 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 56¢ $28 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 56¢ $28 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 56¢ $24 7d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 54¢ $108 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +1.7% -8.0% 71% 14% -9.5%
≤30d 33 +3.4% -6.5% 79% 6% -7.4%
≤90d 66 +1.8% -7.9% 77% 6% -8.0%
all 199 +1.2% -8.5% 67% 13% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 13% -8.6%
10% -17.2% 9% -17.3%
15% -25.2% 6% -25.3%
20% -32.5% 3% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $930.41 · official $930.41 (match) · 950 history records