Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:00:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CC 0xccd3…f5ee crypto 240 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,393 (+7%) realized +$1,393 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate54%129W / 111L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$88per market
Trades / day12.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$321
7 days+$595
14 days+$581
30 days+$580
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$521
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -4.1% -13.2% 56% 42% -6.7%
≤30d 206 -6.4% -15.3% 55% 41% -6.8%
≤90d 240 -9.8% -18.4% 54% 40% -7.1%
all 240 -9.8% -18.4% 54% 40% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 40% -7.1%
10% -26.2% 25% -16.0%
15% -33.3% 18% -24.1%
20% -39.9% 12% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -20% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$22 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,393
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses129 / 111
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 240
History coverage45d
Avg bet$88
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 240 Trades
no open positions (78 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $338 +$144 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$10 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$13 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $367 +$150 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $310 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$42 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $309 +$64 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $620 +$22 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $312 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $27 −$13 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$27 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $312 +$124 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $53 −$52 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $310 +$21 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $248 +$24 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $175 +$196 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $87 +$87 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $363 −$350 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $366 +$61 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $349 +$42 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $278 +$69 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $268 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $415 −$415 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $517 +$77 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $335 +$16 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $309 +$33 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $301 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $310 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$12 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $312 +$58 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $309 −$14 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $336 +$71 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $310 +$113 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $457 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $312 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $16 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $22 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $23 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $13 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $26 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $458 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $314 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $11 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $20 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $306 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $310 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $28 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $33 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $61 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $311 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $309 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 644 history records