trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 44% | 44% | -1.6% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 42% | 42% | -4.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 42% | 42% | -4.1% |
| all | 26 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 42% | 42% | -4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 42% | -4.1% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 42% | -13.3% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 42% | -21.7% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 31% | -29.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 70¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $60 | $58 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 8¢ | $50 | $22 | −$28 (-56%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$121 | +238% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $46 | −$45 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$255 | +250% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$55 | +55% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $102 | +$176 | +172% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $71 | +$75 | +105% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$127 | +250% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$88 | +172% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$42 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $101 | +$84 | +83% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |