Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:12:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcccb…a73a
crypto · 820 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$810 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$811 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized+$811
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses504 / 315
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)819 / 820
History coverage28d
Avg bet$93
Trades / day96.0
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 819 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$59
7 days−$616
14 days−$912
30 days+$811
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $379 $0 −$379 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$23 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$36 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$30 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$90 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$31 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $92 +$29 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$17 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $209 +$61 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$50 +418%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$7 +14%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $101 −$10 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $504 +$15 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $400 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $191 +$25 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $299 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $411 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$43 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $298 +$18 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$25 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$55 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$95 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $29 −$28 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$769
other 1% +$61
sports 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $25 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $18 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $34 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $7 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $91 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $46 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 186 -21.0% -28.5% 48% 31% -12.3%
≤30d 819 -9.3% -17.9% 62% 44% -8.2%
≤90d 819 -9.3% -17.9% 62% 44% -8.2%
all 819 -9.3% -17.9% 62% 44% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 44% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 30% -17.0%
15% -33.0% 19% -25.0%
20% -39.5% 14% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.57 · official $18.57 (match) · 3500 history records