trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -52.3% | -56.8% | 25% | 25% | -15.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -52.3% | -56.8% | 25% | 25% | -15.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -52.3% | -56.8% | 25% | 25% | -15.3% |
| all | 11 | -43.6% | -48.9% | 27% | 27% | -24.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.9% | 27% | -24.5% |
| 10% | -53.8% | 27% | -31.7% |
| 15% | -58.3% | 27% | -38.3% |
| 20% | -62.4% | 18% | -44.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $29 | +$36 | +125% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1PM ET | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 8 | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 2PM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 9 | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | Jun 17 | $12 | −$12 | -95% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13? | Dec 12 | $8 | −$7 | -86% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13? | Dec 11 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 10 | Dec 10 | $7 | +$9 | +124% |