Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:12:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xccc8…e61c
other · 70 markets active 17h ago
0.0score
−$15,243 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,118 · open −$2,126
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6,936
Realized−$13,118
Unrealized−$2,126
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses7 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions34
Markets (closed)36 / 70
Avg bet$620
Trades / day196.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 34 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,204
7 days−$13,118
14 days−$13,118
30 days−$13,118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,029 $926 −$103 (-10%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $930 $829 −$101 (-11%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $681 $596 −$85 (-12%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $532 $495 −$37 (-7%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $587 $440 −$147 (-25%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $448 $394 −$54 (-12%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $411 $364 −$47 (-11%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $328 $314 −$14 (-4%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $296 $280 −$16 (-6%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $502 $251 −$251 (-50%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $285 $237 −$47 (-17%)
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $470 $235 −$235 (-50%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $280 $196 −$84 (-30%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $184 $185 +$2 (+1%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $323 $162 −$162 (-50%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $177 $155 −$22 (-12%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $132 $148 +$17 (+13%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $134 $111 −$23 (-17%)
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $144 $72 −$72 (-50%)
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $116 $58 −$58 (-50%)
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $74 $56 −$18 (-25%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $326 $54 −$272 (-83%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $92 $46 −$46 (-50%)
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $85 $42 −$42 (-50%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $81 $40 −$40 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $517 −$500 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $205 +$322 +157%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2,509 −$2,044 -82%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $738 −$75 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $627 −$600 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $415 −$394 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $285 −$270 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $371 −$43 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $418 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $416 −$100 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $571 −$540 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $474 −$450 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $940 −$891 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $636 −$600 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $336 −$319 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $320 −$300 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 08 $294 −$285 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $212 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $398 +$154 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 08 $219 +$186 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 08 $843 −$800 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5PM ET Jun 07 $2,549 −$2,410 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 07 $1,368 −$1,300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 07 $1,575 −$1,495 -95%
Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw? Jun 07 $317 −$309 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 07 $742 −$406 -55%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $179 −$174 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 07 $314 +$631 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $4,196 −$4,000 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 07 $2,292 +$7,304 +319%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 07 $2,179 −$1,100 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $1,329 +$700 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $1,656 −$877 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $2,102 −$1,299 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $861 +$423 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $704 −$660 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$10,516
other 27% −$4,224
sports 2% −$356
world 1% −$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $413 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $14 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $25 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $14 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $100 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $25 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +2.6% -7.1% 19% 19% -50.6%
≤30d 36 +2.6% -7.1% 19% 19% -50.6%
≤90d 36 +2.6% -7.1% 19% 19% -50.6%
all 36 +2.6% -7.1% 19% 19% -50.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover196.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 19% -50.6%
10% -16.0% 19% -55.4%
15% ← realistic here -24.1% 19% -59.7%
20% -31.6% 14% -63.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,935.89 · official $6,934.19 (match) · 765 history records