trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 25% | 0% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -19.1% | -26.8% | 33% | 0% | -11.7% |
| all | 15 | -19.1% | -26.8% | 33% | 0% | -11.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.8% | 0% | -11.7% |
| 10% | -33.8% | 0% | -20.1% |
| 15% | -40.2% | 0% | -27.8% |
| 20% | -46.1% | 0% | -34.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $437 | $436 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $240 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $226 | −$6 | -3% |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $226 | −$1 | -0% |
| Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5) | May 24 | $485 | +$25 | +5% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | May 23 | $485 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5) | May 22 | $473 | +$12 | +2% |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | May 21 | $465 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5) | May 19 | $480 | +$25 | +5% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? | May 16 | $485 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | May 03 | $25 | +$1 | +4% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Apr 20 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5) | Apr 19 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Apr 19 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5 | Mar 26 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? | Mar 26 | $5 | −$2 | -50% |