Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:28:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcca2…fa31
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$82 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$106
Realized−$72
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses25 / 19
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)44 / 51
History coverage104d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 7 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days−$63
14 days−$63
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Over 56¢ 56¢ $57 $57 +$0 (+1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 59¢ 41¢ $30 $21 −$9 (-31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 13¢ 10¢ $13 $10 −$2 (-19%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+28%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 27¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Khamenei post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$21 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$15 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $76 +$83 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$6 +8%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Jun 12 $61 +$27 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$26 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +28%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $30 +$11 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$63 -63%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$48 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$22 +29%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Jun 10 $5 −$3 -62%
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 ( Jun 10 $104 −$100 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9? May 08 $6 −$6 -96%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? May 08 $2 $0 +4%
Will Khamenei post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Mar 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Mar 22 $10 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$88
finance 13% −$73
other 10% +$95
sports 4% $0
world 4% −$10
economics 1% +$1
weather 0% −$6
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $22 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $34 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $17 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +6.5% -3.6% 58% 55% -14.6%
≤30d 40 +6.5% -3.6% 58% 55% -14.6%
≤90d 44 +1.6% -8.0% 57% 50% -15.3%
all 44 +1.6% -8.0% 57% 50% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 50% -15.3%
10% -16.8% 39% -23.4%
15% -24.9% 30% -30.8%
20% -32.2% 20% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $106.20 · official $105.21 (match) · 151 history records