trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $6 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$6 | +156% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$2 | +134% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$2 | -71% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $27 | −$4 | -16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $20 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -70% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 9? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -72% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -91% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5? | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4? | Jun 04 | $1 | +$2 | +170% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 4? | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 57% | 38% | -8.0% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 52% | 36% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 52% | 36% | -8.9% |
| all | 25 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 52% | 36% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.9% | 36% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -26.7% | 16% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -33.8% | 12% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 12% | -32.9% |