Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T11:45:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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CC 0xcc94…b7c2 crypto 500 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$20 (+0%) realized +$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%485W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day90.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$36
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 459 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 1% -8.8%
≤30d 498 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 1% -9.3%
≤90d 498 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 1% -9.3%
all 498 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 1% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -17.9%
15% -26.5% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses485 / 13
Open positions1
Markets (closed)498 / 500
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day90.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 498 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 13 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $24 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $23 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.02 · official $2.35 · 1221 history records