Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:57:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc92…8d1d
other · 402 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2,429 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,427 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$366
Realized−$2,427
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses182 / 218
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions2
Markets (closed)400 / 402
History coverage46d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day21.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 2 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$167
7 days−$982
14 days−$1,420
30 days−$1,759
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $368 $366 −$2 (-1%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Lynn Vision 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $488 $0 −$488 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Egypt vs. Russia end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-30? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $173 +$197 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $111 +$62 +55%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,259 −$520 -41%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $537 +$95 +18%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $516 +$21 +4%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,118 −$151 -14%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $494 −$488 -99%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1,090 −$122 -11%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $610 +$6 +1%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $511 +$99 +19%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $818 +$98 +12%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $382 +$32 +8%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $469 +$1 +0%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $362 +$19 +5%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $321 +$41 +13%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $268 +$53 +20%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $252 +$15 +6%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $224 +$29 +13%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $755 −$533 -71%
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $719 +$37 +5%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $936 −$216 -23%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $28 +$8 +29%
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $838 +$90 +11%
Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 +$1 +21%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $693 +$144 +21%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $660 +$33 +5%
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $543 +$117 +22%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1,236 −$186 -15%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $508 +$38 +7%
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 −$2 -70%
Will Armenia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 +$4 +86%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $514 +$174 +34%
Will Angola vs. Mauritania end in a draw? Jun 05 $442 +$70 +16%
Will Angola win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $50 −$50 -99%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $479 +$14 +3%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $461 +$18 +4%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $346 +$116 +33%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $329 +$16 +5%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $605 −$276 -46%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $20 +$19 +93%
Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $539 +$27 +5%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $117 −$116 -99%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $452 −$345 -76%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $449 +$13 +3%
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $436 +$13 +3%
Will British Virgin Islands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 −$4 -74%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $412 +$29 +7%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $830 +$156 +19%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $350 +$34 +10%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $191 +$30 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% −$2,491
sports 4% +$94
crypto 2% −$78
world 1% +$44
weather 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $370 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $173 20h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $173 20h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 63¢ $111 21h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $110 21h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $631 22h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 21¢ $629 22h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $629 28h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 85¢ $537 46h
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 96¢ $516 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 99¢ $517 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $451 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 59¢ $450 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $668 2d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 61¢ $494 3d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 99¢ $495 3d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 95¢ $475 3d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 6¢ $5 3d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 86¢ $469 3d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 97¢ $616 3d
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 100¢ $616 3d
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 99¢ $610 3d
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 95¢ $610 3d
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 79¢ $511 4d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 99¢ $509 4d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 77¢ $8 4d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 78¢ $362 4d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 75¢ $34 4d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 59¢ $407 4d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 58¢ $413 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +4.6% -5.3% 76% 45% -14.9%
≤30d 197 -20.8% -28.3% 51% 27% -11.9%
≤90d 400 -15.8% -23.9% 46% 26% -12.4%
all 400 -15.8% -23.9% 46% 26% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.9% 26% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 17% -20.8%
15% -37.8% 11% -28.5%
20% -43.9% 7% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $366.06 · official $366.11 (match) · 1161 history records