Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:35:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
CC 0xcc7d…ee5a sports 1079 markets active 0h ago coverage 53d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,818 (-1%) realized −$2,610 · open −$208
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1037W / 9L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$355per market
Trades / day45.7pace
Fees−$125est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$2,083now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 53d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 93% +$2,829
other 3% +$109
crypto 3% +$121
world 1% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 416 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤90d 1046 +0.6% -8.9% 99% 0% -8.7%
all 1046 +0.6% -8.9% 99% 0% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover45.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 0% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 0% -17.5%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.4%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$70 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×6.83 per $1 lost it wins $6.83
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

53d coverage
Net worth$2,083
Realized−$2,610
Unrealized−$208
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1037 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$125
Open positions31
Markets (closed)1046 / 1079
History coverage53d ⚠
Avg bet$355
Trades / day45.7
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 31 History 1046 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 95¢ 100¢ $362 $380 +$18 (+5%)
IR Tanger to score first vs. Kawkab AC? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $262 $264 +$3 (+1%)
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida to score first vs. Maghreb AS de Fès? Yes 98¢ 51¢ $301 $156 −$145 (-48%)
Kawkab AC to score first vs. IR Tanger? No 99¢ 100¢ $125 $126 +$1 (+1%)
Kawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: Neither team to score first? No 99¢ 100¢ $111 $112 +$1 (+1%)
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Maghreb AS de Fès 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $85 $86 +$1 (+1%)
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $82 $83 +$1 (+1%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Raja Club Athletic 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $80 $81 +$1 (+1%)
Raja Club Athletic to score first vs. RCA Zemamra? Yes 99¢ 55¢ $111 $61 −$50 (-45%)
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo? No 99¢ 100¢ $50 $51 +$0 (+1%)
Kawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: IR Tanger 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Kawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: UnionTouargaSports 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Raja Club Athletic 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: UnionTouargaSports 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: RCA Zemamra 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Raja Club Athletic 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Neither team to score first? No 99¢ 50¢ $57 $29 −$28 (-49%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 99¢ 100¢ $24 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Maghreb AS de Fès to score first vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida? No 98¢ 51¢ $30 $16 −$15 (-48%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Austria to win the second half? Jun 17 $352 +$3 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 17 $59 +$1 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $1,143 +$12 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $98 +$2 +2%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $6,429 +$6 +0%
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 17 $75 +$1 +1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 17 $43 $0 +1%
Algeria to score first vs. Argentina? Jun 17 $291 +$3 +1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2,772 +$28 +1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $3,263 +$33 +1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $6,336 +$58 +1%
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand? Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand? Jun 16 $124 +$1 +1%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $6,139 +$61 +1%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $5,247 +$53 +1%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Jun 15 $870 +$8 +1%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 15 $47 $0 +1%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $6,138 +$62 +1%
CD Concepción vs. CD Limache: Neither team to score first? Jun 14 $27 $0 +1%
CD Limache to score first vs. CD Concepción? Jun 14 $37 $0 +1%
US Yacoub El Mansour to score first vs. IR Tanger? Jun 14 $111 +$1 +1%
AS FAR to score first vs. Wydad Athletic Club? Jun 14 $111 +$1 +1%
UnionTouargaSports to score first vs. Raja Club Athletic? Jun 14 $58 +$1 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1,782 +$18 +1%
IR Tanger vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: Neither team to score first? Jun 14 $22 $0 +1%
IR Tanger to score first vs. US Yacoub El Mansour? Jun 14 $37 $0 +1%
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: Neither team to score first Jun 14 $46 $0 +1%
Wydad Athletic Club to score first vs. AS FAR? Jun 14 $37 $0 +1%
Raja Club Athletic to score first vs. UnionTouargaSports? Jun 14 $46 $0 +1%
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: Neither team to score first? Jun 14 $22 $0 +2%
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $243 +$2 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $345 +$3 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $173 +$2 +1%
CD Concepción vs. CD Limache: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $17 $0 +1%
CD Concepción vs. CD Limache: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2,970 +$30 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $4,653 +$42 +1%
IR Tanger vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $351 +$4 +1%
IR Tanger vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $17 $0 +1%
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $351 +$6 +2%
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $85 +$1 +1%
IR Tanger vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1,328 +$2 +0%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $320 +$3 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2,236 +$23 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $163 +$1 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $191 +$2 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $107 +$1 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6,435 +$257 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 99¢ $50 25m
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 27m
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: UnionTouargaSports 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 28m
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 28m
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: RCA Zemamra 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 34m
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 35m
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Raja Club Athletic 2nd Half O/U 1. BUY Over 99¢ $50 36m
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 37m
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: UnionTouargaSports 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 52m
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 52m
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Raja Club Athletic 2nd Half O/U 0. BUY Over 99¢ $50 1h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 1h
Kawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: IR Tanger 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 1h
Kawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 1h
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Maghreb AS de Fès 2nd H BUY Over 99¢ $85 1h
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $82 1h
IR Tanger to score first vs. Kawkab AC? BUY Yes 99¢ $99 1h
Kawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: IR Tanger O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 1h
IR Tanger to score first vs. Kawkab AC? BUY Yes 98¢ $163 1h
Kawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: Neither team to score first? BUY No 99¢ $111 1h
Kawkab AC to score first vs. IR Tanger? BUY No 99¢ $125 1h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: RCA Zemamra O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: RCA Zemamra 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $2 2h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 99¢ $24 2h
Raja Club Athletic to score first vs. RCA Zemamra? BUY Yes 99¢ $79 2h
Raja Club Athletic to score first vs. RCA Zemamra? BUY Yes 99¢ $32 2h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $43 2h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 95¢ $319 2h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Raja Club Athletic 1st Half O/U 1. BUY Over 99¢ $80 2h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: Raja Club Athletic 1st Half O/U 0. BUY Over 99¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,082.52 · official $2,081.21 (match) · 3500 history records