Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:02:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc69…4724
sports · 702 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$131 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$130 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74
Realized+$130
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses362 / 321
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions19
Markets (closed)683 / 702
History coverage116d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 19 History 683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days+$36
14 days+$58
30 days+$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk Dominick Mosejczuk 66¢ 66¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Yes 70¢ 74¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+6%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Yes 75¢ 72¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-5%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric Sean Cuenin 70¢ 69¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 No 54¢ 53¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 70¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Yes 69¢ 76¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+9%)
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 No 51¢ 52¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Yes 56¢ 60¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+6%)
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 68¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 64¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? Yes 61¢ 58¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 No 44¢ 42¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5 No 47¢ 47¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 Over 41¢ 44¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ranheim win on 2026-06-14? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Under 8¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Somerset Somerset 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +158%
ITF Los Angeles: Jacob Brumm vs Marcel Latak Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau Jun 12 $3 +$3 +79%
Will COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $9 +$2 +24%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Nikita Mashtakov Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $3 +$3 +79%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +109%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Rudolf Molleker Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
ITF Los Angeles: Marcel Latak vs Nathan Trouve Jun 11 $8 +$4 +46%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +134%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $6 +$3 +42%
ITF Martos: Carles Hernandez vs Joao Domingues Jun 11 $4 +$2 +48%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Oscar Brown Jun 11 $8 +$2 +31%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +76%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 +$3 +105%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 +$3 +140%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Wichita: Mikael Arseneault vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 10 $4 +$2 +34%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 +$2 +50%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $7 +$1 +23%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Adam Jilly vs Nikita Bilozertsev Jun 10 $5 +$3 +46%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Heorhii Shylov vs Richard Antoni Jun 10 $4 +$2 +46%
ITF Vaasa: Filip Peliwo vs Kristjan Tamm Jun 10 $5 +$2 +46%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 +$2 +55%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: William Grant vs Jeremy Schifris Jun 10 $3 $0 -16%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Gabor Hornung vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez Jun 10 $8 +$3 +32%
ITF Martos: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Bernardo Munk Mesa Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Leo Vithoontien Jun 10 $5 +$3 +52%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 10 $2 +$3 +101%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 10 $13 +$6 +50%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5) Jun 09 $3 +$2 +65%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 +$2 +46%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 +$5 +226%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$78
other 18% +$52
crypto 1% +$2
politics 0% $0
world 0% −$1
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 BUY No 44¢ $3 1h
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5 BUY No 47¢ $2 1h
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 BUY No 54¢ $4 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $2 1h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric BUY Sean Cuenin 70¢ $6 6h
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk BUY Dominick Mosejczuk 66¢ $11 7h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 8h
Will COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 13h
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau BUY Andrew Fenty 55¢ $3 15h
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 BUY No 51¢ $3 15h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 46¢ $2 17h
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 BUY No 51¢ $0 19h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $2 21h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 61¢ $3 22h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Nikita Mashtakov BUY Sean Cuenin 81¢ $10 25h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf BUY Henry Bernet 80¢ $9 27h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 28h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Rudolf Molleker BUY Rudolf Molleker 47¢ $2 28h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $2 28h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 55¢ $3 33h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 82¢ $7 35h
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) BUY New York Liberty 47¢ $2 37h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 39h
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny BUY Sebastian Gorzny 58¢ $3 39h
ITF Los Angeles: Marcel Latak vs Nathan Trouve BUY Nathan Trouve 68¢ $8 41h
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 70¢ $6 45h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $3 2d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 55¢ $3 2d
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Oscar Brown BUY Branko Djuric 76¢ $8 2d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 51¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +4.9% -5.1% 60% 59% +0.1%
≤30d 236 +7.5% -2.8% 58% 57% -1.4%
≤90d 369 -12.3% -20.7% 47% 46% -10.0%
all 683 +6.6% -3.5% 53% 52% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.5% 52% -2.3%
10% -12.8% 50% -11.7%
15% -21.2% 46% -20.2%
20% -28.9% 40% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.85 · official $73.86 (match) · 1380 history records