Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc50…4c82
crypto · 276 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$121,353 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,679 · open +$15,832
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$287,049
Realized+$16,679
Unrealized+$15,832
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses151 / 342
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Open positions54
Markets (closed)493 / 276
Avg bet$2,378
Trades / day475.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 54 History 493 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47,409
7 days+$16,679
14 days+$16,679
30 days+$16,679
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $22,680 $22,694 +$14 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 65¢ 68¢ $20,319 $21,464 +$1,145 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No 83¢ 100¢ $15,377 $18,473 +$3,096 (+20%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 41¢ 46¢ $14,490 $16,104 +$1,614 (+11%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 56¢ 59¢ $14,873 $15,777 +$904 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 73¢ 78¢ $14,813 $15,717 +$904 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $14,880 $15,536 +$656 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No 95¢ 95¢ $14,121 $14,180 +$59 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 85¢ 95¢ $12,406 $13,858 +$1,452 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 45¢ 72¢ $8,273 $13,110 +$4,837 (+58%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 89¢ 92¢ $11,653 $12,118 +$465 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 90¢ $11,635 $11,485 −$150 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $8,885 $9,267 +$382 (+4%)
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No 91¢ 100¢ $8,386 $9,170 +$784 (+9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No 96¢ 96¢ $6,999 $6,971 −$28 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 90¢ 94¢ $6,637 $6,897 +$260 (+4%)
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 90¢ 97¢ $6,383 $6,896 +$513 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $6,038 $6,117 +$79 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No 82¢ 86¢ $5,264 $5,567 +$303 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $5,195 $5,460 +$265 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 79¢ 82¢ $5,093 $5,306 +$213 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 90¢ 90¢ $4,832 $4,867 +$35 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 88¢ 97¢ $3,994 $4,403 +$409 (+10%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 28¢ 30¢ $3,462 $3,752 +$290 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No 93¢ 98¢ $3,131 $3,298 +$167 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$93 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$31 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$5 -918%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +49%
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28? Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $0 −$501 -144028%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +73%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +625%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$64 -119%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $279 −$279 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $109 −$115 -106%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $994 +$1,899 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $170 +$358 +210%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$34 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,250 −$1,250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $595 −$595 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $281 −$281 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? Jun 12 $16,964 −$16,964 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $60 +$63 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $315 −$376 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $837 −$837 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$99,014
other 15% +$5,038
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 77¢ $383 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $14 11m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $25 28m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 26¢ $789 30m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 73¢ $364 41m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 43m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 45m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $68 45m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 45m
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $136 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $106 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $42 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 493 -12.6% -20.9% 31% 27% -6.4%
≤30d 493 -12.6% -20.9% 31% 27% -6.4%
≤90d 493 -12.6% -20.9% 31% 27% -6.4%
all 493 -12.6% -20.9% 31% 27% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover475.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.9% 27% -6.4%
10% -28.5% 24% -15.3%
15% ← realistic here -35.4% 23% -23.5%
20% -41.7% 21% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $287,048.77 · official $287,043.23 (match) · 3500 history records