Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc49…4c3f
crypto · 82 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses24 / 53
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)77 / 82
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day13.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 5 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$57
14 days−$44
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 19¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+424%)
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Yes 40¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+150%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+112%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 21¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $11 $0 -3%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$3 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Akram Afif: 1+ goals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +113%
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +194%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$13 -75%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$3 +240%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$10 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $12 +$9 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$16 +756%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$37
other 21% −$9
sports 6% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 54m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 42¢ $1 55m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 72¢ $11 55m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 73¢ $11 55m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 13¢ $1 4h
Akram Afif: 1+ goals BUY Yes 17¢ $1 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $2 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $2 26h
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? SELL Yes 99¢ $3 27h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 29h
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 29h
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -9.3% -18.0% 30% 30% -30.2%
≤30d 77 +2.9% -6.9% 31% 31% -23.0%
≤90d 77 +2.9% -6.9% 31% 31% -23.0%
all 77 +2.9% -6.9% 31% 31% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 31% -23.0%
10% -15.8% 31% -30.4%
15% -23.9% 30% -37.1%
20% -31.4% 29% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.08 · official $15.08 (match) · 132 history records