Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:21:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc44…aaa4
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses15 / 21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
Avg bet$3
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$9 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$8 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$3
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $13 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -14.7% -22.9% 42% 39% -11.8%
≤30d 36 -14.7% -22.9% 42% 39% -11.8%
≤90d 36 -14.7% -22.9% 42% 39% -11.8%
all 36 -14.7% -22.9% 42% 39% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 39% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 36% -20.3%
15% -37.0% 36% -28.0%
20% -43.2% 33% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.98 (match) · 73 history records