trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 1 | -33.3% | -39.7% | 0% | 0% | -39.7% |
| all | 20 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 5% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.1% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $41 | $41 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 06 | $129 | −$43 | -33% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 25 | $980 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 18 | $981 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 14 | $982 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 12 | $983 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 10 | $984 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 08 | $986 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 06 | $987 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 04 | $987 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $988 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 31 | $988 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 29 | $989 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 27 | $989 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 25 | $990 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 23 | $991 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 21 | $992 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 19 | $993 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 17 | $994 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 14 | $995 | −$1 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 12 | $5,941 | $0 | +0% |