Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc3d…c815
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses14 / 7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)21 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 60¢ 26¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +2.0% -7.7% 67% 52% -9.1%
≤30d 21 +2.0% -7.7% 67% 52% -9.1%
≤90d 21 +2.0% -7.7% 67% 52% -9.1%
all 21 +2.0% -7.7% 67% 52% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 52% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 48% -17.8%
15% -24.6% 33% -25.8%
20% -32.0% 24% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.40 · official $8.56 · 41 history records