Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:34:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc31…55d3
other · 160 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$9 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses82 / 78
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)160 / 160
History coverage135d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit6%
Chart Positions 0 History 160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$11
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No 87¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -84%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $4 +$6 +136%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -78%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $2 +$3 +144%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -76%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $20 +$7 +38%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2 −$1 -71%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $19 +$2 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -81%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $7 +$13 +176%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $2 +$3 +150%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $4 +$5 +118%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $3 −$2 -50%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $8 +$3 +42%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $2 −$1 -33%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $3 +$2 +63%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $3 −$1 -49%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $8 +$3 +39%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $4 $0 +11%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 12 $3 +$3 +108%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? May 11 $4 +$2 +69%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? May 09 $10 −$2 -19%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 08 $4 +$4 +112%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 08 $3 −$3 -85%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? May 05 $24 −$24 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 05 $2 −$1 -42%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? May 05 $30 −$30 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 04 $56 +$7 +12%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 04 $50 +$5 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $3 +$8 +270%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $5 −$5 -93%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? Apr 29 $37 +$10 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Apr 27 $3 −$2 -70%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Apr 27 $15 −$2 -17%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Apr 27 $4 −$2 -61%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? Apr 25 $40 +$5 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? Apr 25 $10 −$6 -56%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 24 $10 +$11 +114%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 23 $10 −$3 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? Apr 22 $2 −$2 -81%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? Apr 22 $10 +$4 +41%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $10 +$3 +35%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? Apr 20 $29 +$2 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? Apr 20 $5 −$5 -92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 95% +$17
crypto 4% +$2
weather 1% −$10
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 16h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 25h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 31h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 37h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $0 2d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 2d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $0 2d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 41¢ $2 4d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 4d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $27 4d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $18 4d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 4d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 5d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 6d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $19 6d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 6d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 7d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 7d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 8d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY Yes 35¢ $7 9d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY Yes 37¢ $7 9d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 9d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 10d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 11d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? BUY Yes 61¢ $3 11d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 11d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 13d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $3 13d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -7.1% -16.0% 44% 33% +8.0%
≤30d 24 -3.9% -13.1% 46% 42% +10.1%
≤90d 120 +3.3% -6.6% 47% 36% -8.7%
all 160 +5.0% -5.0% 51% 36% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.0% 36% -9.1%
10% -14.1% 29% -17.8%
15% -22.4% 22% -25.7%
20% -30.0% 18% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 407 history records