Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc2e…7ffd
crypto · 105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses89 / 15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)104 / 105
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day121.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $2 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -1.4% -10.8% 86% 0% -10.8%
≤30d 104 -1.4% -10.8% 86% 0% -10.8%
≤90d 104 -1.4% -10.8% 86% 0% -10.8%
all 104 -1.4% -10.8% 86% 0% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 0% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 0% -19.3%
15% -27.1% 0% -27.1%
20% -34.3% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.03 · official $2.03 (match) · 209 history records