Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T22:25:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
CC 0xcc11…2cb8 other 5 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2 (+1%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%5W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day3.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit40%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 59% +$4
sports 41% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +2.5% -7.3% 100% 0% -7.2%
≤30d 5 +2.5% -7.3% 100% 0% -7.2%
≤90d 5 +2.5% -7.3% 100% 0% -7.2%
all 5 +2.5% -7.3% 100% 0% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 0% -7.2%
10% -16.1% 0% -16.1%
15% -24.2% 0% -24.2%
20% -31.7% 0% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 44% · top 2 75% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses5 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit40%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) Jun 25 $61 +$3 +5%
Ecuador leading at halftime? Jun 25 $58 +$2 +4%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $58 +$1 +1%
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $57 +$1 +1%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $57 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) BUY Germany 95¢ $61 1h
Ecuador leading at halftime? SELL No 100¢ $60 1h
Ecuador leading at halftime? BUY No 96¢ $58 2h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 99¢ $58 22h
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $58 23h
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $57 23h
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? BUY No 98¢ $57 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records