Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc0c…41d9
sports · 33 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$485 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$247 · open −$238
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$247
Unrealized−$238
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses10 / 21
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions2
Markets (closed)31 / 33
History coverage40d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 2 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$55
7 days+$55
14 days+$55
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $102 $1 −$101 (-99%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 62¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 48¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A BC.Game Esports 25¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner FaZe 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner FURIA 40¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs Team Falcons 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 35¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 50¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 42¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs FURIA 49¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $179 −$76 -42%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $74 +$143 +192%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $138 +$75 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 +$52 +103%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $32 −$31 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $22 −$22 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 25 $57 −$56 -98%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $32 +$25 +76%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qua May 17 $188 +$223 +119%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $44 −$44 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 15 $50 −$49 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $158 −$156 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 14 $101 +$58 +57%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner May 13 $78 −$77 -98%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner May 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $170 −$168 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 13 $203 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 13 $92 +$181 +197%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? May 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 13 $38 −$38 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 13 $111 +$42 +38%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 12 $100 +$215 +216%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 12 $99 −$97 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $45 −$44 -98%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $55 −$54 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner May 03 $50 +$50 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$5
other 21% −$489
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $104 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 24¢ $104 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 40¢ $179 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 32¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 35¢ $17 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $217 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $139 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $74 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $52 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $51 27h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $103 28h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $32 33h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $22 33h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $86 33h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $51 33h
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 31¢ $57 18d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 52¢ $40 19d
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 56¢ $32 19d
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 23¢ $51 19d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 44¢ $44 26d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qua BUY Falcons Force 45¢ $188 26d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 40¢ $50 28d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY FURIA 49¢ $158 28d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 50¢ $78 30d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A BUY BetBoom Team 63¢ $101 30d
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY FaZe 16¢ $21 30d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $170 30d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $102 30d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $101 30d
Will Trump visit China by May 15? BUY No 0¢ $2 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-35.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -21.4% -28.9% 33% 33% -1.0%
≤30d 18 -30.0% -36.7% 33% 33% -12.0%
≤90d 31 -28.7% -35.5% 32% 32% -19.0%
all 31 -28.7% -35.5% 32% 32% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.5% 32% -19.0%
10% -41.7% 32% -26.8%
15% -47.3% 32% -33.9%
20% -52.5% 29% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.39 · official $1.39 (match) · 48 history records