Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:58:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbfc…0be4
weather · 1302 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$338 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$338 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$338
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses537 / 765
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1302 / 1302
History coverage89d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day35.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$3
14 days−$29
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11? No 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 11? No 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? No 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$9 +253%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 11 $0 $0 -96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $3 −$2 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -75%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -71%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$4 +139%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -72%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -40%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 −$2 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$4 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 +$3 +98%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 −$2 -74%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 +$6 +104%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 −$2 -71%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 +$4 +184%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$2 -64%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$2 -74%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 9? Jun 09 $6 +$8 +129%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 +$4 +112%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$2 -63%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$2 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$2 -75%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -93%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 +$3 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 +$4 +136%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$2 -88%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$2 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -73%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 07 $3 +$2 +85%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $5 −$3 -62%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 +$3 +205%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 7? Jun 07 $2 +$3 +124%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 +$2 +95%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 +$2 +93%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 +$3 +117%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1 $0 -55%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 07 $1 −$1 -82%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 6? Jun 06 $2 +$3 +134%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 06 $3 −$2 -61%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -87%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$337
sports 0% $0
politics 0% $0
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12? SELL No 1¢ $0 20h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? SELL No 1¢ $0 24h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? SELL No 1¢ $0 24h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? SELL No 1¢ $0 24h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? BUY No 51¢ $4 25h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 42¢ $3 26h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $6 26h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 31¢ $3 33h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $0 33h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 49¢ $3 36h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $0 36h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $0 37h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 6¢ $0 37h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $1 37h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 26¢ $1 38h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 14¢ $1 38h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY No 48¢ $3 41h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? SELL No 14¢ $1 46h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? SELL No 6¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? BUY No 53¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? BUY No 53¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11? SELL No 98¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? BUY No 19¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 11? BUY No 16¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 11? SELL No 15¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? SELL No 31¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? BUY No 50¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? BUY No 50¢ $3 2d
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11? BUY No 41¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -7.3% -16.1% 35% 35% -10.3%
≤30d 334 -6.8% -15.7% 29% 28% -16.5%
≤90d 1302 -6.2% -15.2% 41% 40% -16.4%
all 1302 -6.2% -15.2% 41% 40% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 40% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 37% -24.4%
15% -30.7% 32% -31.7%
20% -37.5% 20% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3353 history records