Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:30:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbfb…cde5
crypto · 1246 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$45 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1128 / 118
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1246 / 1246
History coverage58d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$12
14 days+$1
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $8 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 -1.1% -10.5% 90% 15% -8.7%
≤30d 707 -1.2% -10.6% 91% 14% -10.4%
≤90d 1246 -1.3% -10.7% 91% 13% -10.5%
all 1246 -1.3% -10.7% 91% 13% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 13% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 3% -19.0%
15% -27.1% 1% -26.9%
20% -34.2% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records