Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:42:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbf0…196b
crypto · 873 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$469 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$469 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$469
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses517 / 356
Open positions0
Markets (closed)873 / 873
History coverage33d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day27.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 873 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$155
14 days+$98
30 days−$393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 20? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 21? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 20? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$6 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$5 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$6 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$255
weather 10% −$215
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $12 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $12 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $11 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 285 +7.3% -2.9% 82% 82% -2.4%
≤30d 841 -14.2% -22.3% 60% 59% -15.7%
≤90d 873 -15.2% -23.3% 59% 58% -16.8%
all 873 -15.2% -23.3% 59% 58% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.3% 58% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.6% 35% -24.7%
15% -37.3% 15% -32.0%
20% -43.5% 6% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1443 history records