trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 40% | 40% | -1.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 40% | 40% | -1.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 40% | 40% | -1.9% |
| all | 15 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 40% | 40% | -1.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 40% | -1.9% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 40% | -11.3% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 27% | -19.9% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 13% | -27.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 73¢ | 74¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$9 | -92% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$45 | +442% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$9 | +46% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $21 | +$48 | +232% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Jun 17 | $13 | +$4 | +34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Jun 17 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $87 | +$27 | +31% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $27 | −$26 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |