Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbcb…9497
sports · 285 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Net worth$47
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses139 / 104
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions42
Markets (closed)243 / 285
History coverage164d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 42 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$16
14 days−$14
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 87¢ 88¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
100kt meteor strike in 2026? No 97¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 35¢ 41¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+16%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 16¢ 12¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-29%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 36¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? No $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No 55¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 74¢ 82¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 67¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 33¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 48¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 94¢ 93¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 52¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 34¢ 33¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $1 +$1 +140%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +97%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $2 +$1 +39%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $1 $0 +42%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 10 $1 +$1 +62%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $1 +$2 +158%
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Jun 10 $1 $0 -3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 10 $6 +$1 +12%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 +$1 +45%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $1 +$2 +238%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $1 +$1 +105%
Ilkley: Ugo Blanchet vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 08 $1 $0 +17%
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 08 $1 +$1 +101%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $1 +$4 +414%
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 39% −$7
sports 34% +$6
world 7% $0
politics 6% $0
crypto 5% +$5
economics 3% −$4
tech 3% $0
finance 2% −$6
weather 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Scotland 38¢ $1 4h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 71¢ $1 4h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 4h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 40¢ $1 4h
Türkiye leading at halftime? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $1 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 36¢ $1 25h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 37¢ $1 25h
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL Yes 64¢ $1 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 25h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 73¢ $1 25h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 40¢ $1 25h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 69¢ $1 25h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 58¢ $1 25h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 48¢ $1 42h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 50¢ $1 2d
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth BUY Jiri Lehecka 74¢ $1 2d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas BUY Miguel Damas 15¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Marton Fucsovics 31¢ $1 2d
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 41¢ $1 2d
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 48¢ $1 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $1 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $1 2d
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 65¢ $1 2d
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 51¢ $1 2d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 2d
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna BUY Juan Manuel La Serna 47¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur BUY Panna Udvardy 66¢ $1 2d
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 33¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -24.0% -31.2% 40% 40% -23.4%
≤30d 154 +4.8% -5.2% 51% 49% -8.4%
≤90d 203 +4.3% -5.6% 56% 50% -6.8%
all 243 +1.8% -7.9% 57% 49% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 49% -9.6%
10% -16.7% 41% -18.3%
15% -24.8% 34% -26.1%
20% -32.2% 26% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.39 · official $47.39 (match) · 555 history records