Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:23:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcbc9…58fb crypto 1248 markets active 1h ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3,340 (+1%) realized +$3,340 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1223W / 24L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$216per market
Trades / day57.4pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 39d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$183
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 395 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 928 +0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 1247 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 1247 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.8% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$154 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,340
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1223 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1247 / 1248
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$216
Trades / day57.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1247 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $37 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $39 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -90%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $37 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $68 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $90 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records