Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:05:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbbc…b5d0
weather · 162 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$35,772 -347%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35,576 · open −$192
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$667
Realized−$35,576
Unrealized−$192
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses23 / 529
Whale WR (big bets)7%
Open positions30
Markets (closed)552 / 162
History coverage8d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day428.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 30 History 552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34,616
7 days−$35,323
14 days−$35,576
30 days−$35,576
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 13? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $92 $85 −$7 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $111 $74 −$37 (-34%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 13? Yes 15¢ 8¢ $144 $72 −$72 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 5¢ 10¢ $27 $59 +$32 (+118%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Yes 22¢ 18¢ $66 $54 −$12 (-18%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? Yes 20¢ 27¢ $33 $46 +$12 (+37%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $61 $42 −$19 (-32%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 13? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $41 $29 −$13 (-31%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Yes 31¢ 50¢ $15 $25 +$10 (+64%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-17%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-8%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-9%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-10%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 13? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $50 $13 −$37 (-74%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+30%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-53%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June 13? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $3 $6 +$4 (+137%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $5 −$3 (-36%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-34%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-67%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or higher on Jul Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on March 30? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -103%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 23? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 14? Jun 13 $600 −$600 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on Febru Jun 13 $80 −$80 -101%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 70°F or higher on January 27? Jun 13 $97 −$102 -104%
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 26? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 3? Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 17? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on Ma Jun 13 $158 −$158 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 12? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -104%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 5? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -101%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 5? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 202 Jun 13 $28 +$35 +124%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 22? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on September Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 8 Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 9? Jun 13 $43 −$43 -102%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on February 16? Jun 13 $134 −$176 -132%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 2? Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026 Jun 13 $1,739 −$1,545 -89%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on No Jun 13 $187 −$193 -103%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 24? Jun 13 $124 −$126 -102%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on No Jun 13 $233 −$248 -106%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 20? Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on Oc Jun 13 $160 −$160 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -101%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on December Jun 13 $88 −$177 -202%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 19? Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on No Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26? Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on Ja Jun 13 $175 −$190 -108%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on Oc Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Se Jun 13 $128 −$156 -122%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on Ju Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January Jun 13 $67 −$61 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on April Jun 13 $108 −$109 -101%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on Apri Jun 13 $53 −$55 -104%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2? Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on No Jun 13 $236 −$236 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 4? Jun 13 $390 −$391 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February Jun 13 $96 −$199 -208%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 16? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Oc Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 9? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 27? Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? Jun 13 $135 −$135 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 99% −$28
other 1% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $1 21m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $0 21m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $0 21m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $23 26m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 32m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 32m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 32m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 32m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 33m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 33m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 33m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-78.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 547 -76.2% -78.4% 4% 4% -72.0%
≤30d 552 -75.9% -78.2% 4% 4% -72.2%
≤90d 552 -75.9% -78.2% 4% 4% -72.2%
all 552 -75.9% -78.2% 4% 4% -72.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover428.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -78.2% 4% -72.2%
10% ← realistic here -80.3% 4% -74.8%
15% -82.2% 4% -77.3%
20% -83.9% 4% -79.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $667.32 · official $655.74 · 3500 history records