Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:39:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbb6…8389
crypto · 289 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses153 / 135
Open positions1
Markets (closed)288 / 289
History coverage28d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day10.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 288 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$1
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No 86¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 56¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -2.5% -11.8% 59% 59% -11.4%
≤30d 288 -6.0% -15.0% 53% 53% -13.6%
≤90d 288 -6.0% -15.0% 53% 53% -13.6%
all 288 -6.0% -15.0% 53% 53% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 53% -13.6%
10% -23.1% 53% -21.9%
15% -30.5% 53% -29.4%
20% -37.3% 48% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.03 · official $1.06 (match) · 441 history records