Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:58:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbab…9a8a
politics · 250 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
+$46,729 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$60,739 · open −$14,171
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$264,233
Realized+$60,739
Unrealized−$14,171
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses169 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$182
Open positions59
Markets (closed)193 / 250
Avg bet$6,391
Trades / day45.3
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 59 History 193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,542
7 days+$816
14 days+$25,110
30 days+$27,691
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes 96¢ 98¢ $67,654 $69,024 +$1,371 (+2%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 81¢ 68¢ $78,151 $65,085 −$13,066 (-17%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $54,222 $54,861 +$639 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 91¢ 88¢ $28,301 $27,556 −$745 (-3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 95¢ 94¢ $11,557 $11,400 −$157 (-1%)
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $4,879 $4,940 +$61 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? No 95¢ 98¢ $4,722 $4,888 +$166 (+4%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 79¢ 91¢ $3,601 $4,145 +$544 (+15%)
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $1,733 $2,024 +$291 (+17%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? No 62¢ 36¢ $3,212 $1,835 −$1,378 (-43%)
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? Yes 64¢ 60¢ $1,464 $1,377 −$86 (-6%)
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Yes 87¢ 100¢ $1,175 $1,350 +$175 (+15%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $1,258 $1,271 +$14 (+1%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 93¢ 94¢ $1,256 $1,270 +$14 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 90¢ 92¢ $1,216 $1,236 +$20 (+2%)
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 86¢ 89¢ $1,162 $1,202 +$41 (+3%)
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes 85¢ 46¢ $2,061 $1,128 −$934 (-45%)
Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County? No 85¢ 100¢ $901 $1,059 +$158 (+18%)
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes 88¢ 38¢ $1,984 $867 −$1,117 (-56%)
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 54¢ 65¢ $655 $789 +$134 (+20%)
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 93¢ 96¢ $635 $655 +$20 (+3%)
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County? Yes 93¢ 97¢ $593 $619 +$27 (+4%)
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? No 51¢ 74¢ $414 $609 +$194 (+47%)
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No 38¢ 20¢ $1,120 $607 −$513 (-46%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $607 $595 −$12 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Jun 12 $5,974 +$123 +2%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,313 +$38 +3%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 11 $26,130 +$427 +2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 11 $12,325 +$675 +6%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $2,425 +$277 +11%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $6,581 −$173 -3%
Spread: Knicks (-20.5) Jun 11 $12 +$1 +9%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $141 −$141 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $1,256 −$648 -52%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $72 +$128 +178%
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el Jun 10 $1,044 +$31 +3%
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary ele Jun 10 $13,332 +$321 +2%
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec Jun 10 $7,108 +$187 +3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $20,940 +$960 +5%
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary Jun 10 $4,073 +$320 +8%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $406 +$17 +4%
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary e Jun 10 $28 +$2 +8%
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Jun 10 $15,133 +$540 +4%
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Jun 10 $3,240 +$27 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 10 $650 −$650 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $48 −$48 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $1,027 −$351 -34%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 09 $4,419 +$116 +3%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 09 $25,645 +$1,027 +4%
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang Jun 09 $3,323 +$88 +3%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $950 +$209 +22%
Spread: Spurs (-19.5) Jun 09 $2,439 +$112 +5%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 09 $12,431 +$300 +2%
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? Jun 09 $2,575 +$124 +5%
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 Jun 09 $89,885 +$5,726 +6%
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Jun 09 $19,851 +$1,347 +7%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 08 $5,397 +$45 +1%
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los An Jun 08 $1,406 +$88 +6%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $4,558 +$194 +4%
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 08 $2,925 +$180 +6%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $99,696 +$170 +0%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $1,817 +$18 +1%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $12,486 −$11,587 -93%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $2,873 +$13 +0%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $705 +$199 +28%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $200? Jun 06 $25,238 +$31 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $249 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $2,527 +$42 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $2,469 +$16 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $328 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $193 +$2 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $218 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $1,036 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $5,532 +$168 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $5,151 +$6 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 26% +$23,142
finance 23% −$3,014
crypto 16% +$9,805
politics 16% +$12,117
tech 9% +$2,163
other 5% +$2,403
sports 4% −$167
economics 0% +$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? SELL Yes 8¢ $28 3h
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary SELL No 100¢ $2 10h
Will Tony Thurmond finish first in the 2026 California Governor primar SELL No 100¢ $33 10h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 78¢ $18 13h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? BUY Yes 96¢ $14,445 14h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $1 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $145 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $79 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $147 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $74 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $127 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $1 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $221 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $49 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $39 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $205 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $154 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $49 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $318 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $49 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $1,739 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $79 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $1,243 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $49 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $74 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $39 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $147 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $49 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $50 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $50 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -2.1% -11.4% 87% 9% -9.4%
≤30d 104 -3.8% -12.9% 86% 13% -7.1%
≤90d 193 +13.3% +2.5% 88% 18% -6.2%
all 193 +13.3% +2.5% 88% 18% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.5% 18% -6.2%
10% -7.3% 10% -15.2%
15% ← realistic here -16.2% 6% -23.4%
20% -24.4% 5% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $264,232.97 · official $264,292.17 (match) · 3500 history records