Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:01:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
CB 0xcbaa…98bc crypto 866 markets active 13h ago coverage 53d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 52d only
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$613 (-26%) realized −$613 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate34%295W / 571L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day51.4pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$23
14 days−$91
30 days−$179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$463
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-26.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -67.4% -70.5% 13% 13% -62.2%
≤30d 488 -20.6% -28.2% 31% 27% -29.1%
≤90d 866 -18.2% -26.0% 34% 32% -28.3%
all 866 -18.2% -26.0% 34% 32% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.0% 32% -28.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.1% 28% -35.2%
15% -39.6% 24% -41.4%
20% -45.5% 19% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.26 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

53d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$613
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses295 / 571
Open positions0
Markets (closed)866 / 866
History coverage53d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day51.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 866 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records