Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcba4…fb50
crypto · 110 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$222 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$231 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$111
Realized−$231
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses73 / 35
Open positions2
Markets (closed)108 / 110
History coverage588d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 2 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? No 91¢ 99¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $2,104 −$2 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $2,105 −$2 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? Apr 15 $17 $0 +0%
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Mar 26 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Mar 26 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Solana dip to $130 in November? Mar 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Nuggets vs. Suns Mar 26 $230 −$230 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage Feb 02 $19 +$10 +54%
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? Jan 26 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November? Jan 26 $1 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $90 in November? Jan 26 $1 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? Jan 26 $1 $0 +3%
Will Solana reach $250 in November? Jan 26 $1 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? Jan 26 $1 $0 +2%
Will Solana reach $260 in November? Jan 26 $2 $0 +2%
Will Solana dip to $120 in November? Jan 26 $1 $0 +24%
Will Solana reach $300 in November? Jan 26 $2 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $270 in November? Jan 26 $2 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November? Jan 26 $2 $0 +2%
Will Solana reach $240 in November? Jan 26 $2 $0 +4%
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? Jan 26 $2 $0 +4%
Will Solana dip to $110 in November? Jan 26 $2 $0 +11%
Will Solana dip to $100 in November? Jan 26 $3 $0 +5%
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 7? Nov 26 $1 $0 +1%
Celtics vs. Magic Nov 26 $1 +$1 +72%
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 13-19? Nov 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 October 13-19? Nov 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 20? Nov 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19? Nov 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +4%
Will XRP dip to $1.90 October 13-19? Nov 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $2.00 October 13-19? Nov 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +6%
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October? Nov 07 $1 $0 +4%
Rams vs. Jaguars Nov 07 $1 +$1 +64%
Will Solana reach $350 in October? Nov 07 $2 $0 +1%
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Nov 07 $1 +$1 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% +$6
sports 6% −$234
politics 5% $0
crypto 2% +$1
world 0% +$6
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $2 2h
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $2 2h
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 28d
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? BUY No 91¢ $100 53d
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $2,102 54d
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2,104 55d
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $2,103 57d
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2,105 58d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? BUY No 100¢ $17 81d
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season BUY Team Vitality 37¢ $19 130d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage BUY Cloud9 65¢ $19 133d
Nuggets vs. Suns BUY Suns 44¢ $230 195d
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 7? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 218d
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? BUY No 96¢ $2 218d
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? BUY No 97¢ $1 218d
Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? BUY No 98¢ $1 218d
Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November? BUY No 98¢ $2 218d
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? BUY No 100¢ $1 218d
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November? BUY No 99¢ $1 218d
Will Solana dip to $130 in November? BUY No 64¢ $2 218d
Will Solana dip to $120 in November? BUY No 81¢ $1 218d
Will Solana dip to $110 in November? BUY No 90¢ $2 218d
Will Solana dip to $100 in November? BUY No 95¢ $3 218d
Will Solana dip to $90 in November? BUY No 98¢ $1 218d
Will Solana reach $240 in November? BUY No 96¢ $2 218d
Will Solana reach $250 in November? BUY No 97¢ $1 218d
Will Solana reach $260 in November? BUY No 98¢ $2 218d
Will Solana reach $270 in November? BUY No 99¢ $2 218d
Will Solana reach $300 in November? BUY No 99¢ $2 218d
Celtics vs. Magic BUY Magic 58¢ $1 218d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.5% -10.0% 0% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 1 -0.5% -10.0% 0% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 8 -50.1% -54.8% 12% 0% -14.7%
all 108 +0.6% -8.9% 68% 29% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 29% -13.9%
10% -17.7% 25% -22.1%
15% -25.6% 19% -29.6%
20% -32.9% 17% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $111.44 · official $111.44 (match) · 215 history records