trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -38.4% | -44.3% | 15% | 15% | +131.4% |
| all | 27 | -38.4% | -44.3% | 15% | 15% | +131.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.3% | 15% | +131.4% |
| 10% | -49.6% | 15% | +109.2% |
| 15% | -54.5% | 15% | +89.0% |
| 20% | -58.9% | 15% | +70.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25¢ | 25¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 29¢ | 78¢ | $10 | $27 | +$17 (+167%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-49%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans | May 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough cou | May 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Democrats win control of the most London borough coun | May 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils? | May 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils? | May 11 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 U | May 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils? | May 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United | May 09 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 | May 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament elec | May 09 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish P | May 09 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | May 05 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most | May 05 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W | May 05 | $10 | +$9 | +90% |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 202 | May 04 | $14 | +$32 | +220% |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tam | May 04 | $90 | +$598 | +663% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25? | Apr 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 25? | Apr 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings? | Apr 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings? | Apr 23 | $5 | +$15 | +291% |