Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb9b…12ea
crypto · 103 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$77 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses44 / 58
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)102 / 103
History coverage14d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$70
14 days−$79
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+37%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +207%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 48% −$23
sports 31% +$21
other 21% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +5.9% -4.2% 49% 46% -33.2%
≤30d 102 -12.3% -20.6% 43% 41% -28.5%
≤90d 102 -12.3% -20.6% 43% 41% -28.5%
all 102 -12.3% -20.6% 43% 41% -28.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.6% 41% -28.5%
10% -28.2% 38% -35.3%
15% -35.2% 34% -41.6%
20% -41.5% 30% -47.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.39 · official $4.39 (match) · 208 history records