Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb9a…2cc2
crypto · 45 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$152 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$145
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses23 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)41 / 45
History coverage221d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 4 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 32¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-40%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 36¢ 36¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 13¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $243 $0 −$243 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$32 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 +$6 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $16 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Apr 28 $245 −$243 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Apr 28 $237 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Apr 28 $185 +$52 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Apr 28 $182 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Apr 28 $197 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 28 $172 +$27 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Apr 28 $20 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 23 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 23 $20 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Apr 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Apr 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs strongboys (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Apr 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Apr 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Apr 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? Apr 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026 Apr 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? Apr 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026 Apr 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $10 $0 -1%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 23 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Apr 23 $20 +$23 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Apr 22 $95 +$28 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Apr 22 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 22 $74 +$14 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 22 $284 −$149 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Apr 22 $191 +$36 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Apr 22 $137 +$54 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 22 $106 +$31 +29%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026 Jan 27 $10 +$1 +12%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026 Jan 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? Jan 22 $20 +$6 +28%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jan 19 $5 $0 +6%
76ers vs. Cavaliers Jan 19 $15 +$5 +32%
Bucks vs. Pacers Jan 19 $20 +$9 +43%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05? Jan 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$119
other 6% −$25
sports 3% +$10
politics 1% +$6
economics 1% −$20
tech 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 36¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $20 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $16 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $245 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $246 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $237 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $237 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $175 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $9 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $172 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $192 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $187 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $16 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $181 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $162 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $17 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $15 50d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +80.5% +63.3% 100% 100% +69.8%
≤30d 3 +80.5% +63.3% 100% 100% +69.8%
≤90d 34 -16.9% -24.8% 53% 44% -15.0%
all 41 -15.9% -23.9% 56% 46% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.9% 46% -14.8%
10% -31.2% 37% -23.0%
15% -37.8% 22% -30.4%
20% -43.9% 10% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.92 · official $38.22 · 187 history records