trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 59% | 59% | -6.7% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 63% | 53% | -6.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 63% | 53% | -6.6% |
| all | 19 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 63% | 53% | -6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.0% | 53% | -6.6% |
| 10% | -13.2% | 42% | -15.5% |
| 15% | -21.6% | 32% | -23.7% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 32% | -31.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 19¢ | 16¢ | $132 | $109 | −$23 (-18%) |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Yes | 75¢ | 74¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 8¢ | $48 | $5 | −$43 (-89%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Under | 73¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Under | 55¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Under | 60¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$26 | +86% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | +$19 | +62% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$16 | +52% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $84 | +$18 | +21% |
| Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? | Jun 13 | $40 | +$9 | +23% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $58 | +$6 | +11% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $22 | +$56 | +250% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $50 | +$17 | +34% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el | Jun 12 | $82 | −$10 | -12% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary | Jun 06 | $28 | +$3 | +9% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | Jun 01 | $48 | $0 | +1% |