Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T22:28:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcb7c…b03f crypto 73 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3427 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$773 (+2%) realized +$773 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -73% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -79% what you keep after slip
Net edge-79%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate18%49W / 223L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$513per market
Trades / day3427.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3427 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-75.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 272 -73.2% -75.7% 18% 1% -14.7%
≤30d 272 -73.2% -75.7% 18% 1% -14.7%
≤90d 272 -73.2% -75.7% 18% 1% -14.7%
all 272 -73.2% -75.7% 18% 1% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3427.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -75.7% 1% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -78.1% 1% -22.8%
15% -80.2% 0% -30.3%
20% -82.1% 0% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 36% · top 2 43% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -73% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -46% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
46.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$19 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.08 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$773
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses49 / 223
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)272 / 73
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$513
Trades / day3427.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 272 Trades
no open positions (199 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $90 −$102 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$49 -4900%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $201 −$204 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$196 -4900%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $43 −$75 -174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $53 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $31 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $91 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $142 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $38 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $16 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records