Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb76…f7c1
crypto · 684 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,000 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,000 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,000
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses514 / 170
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)684 / 684
History coverage34d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day84.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 684 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$183
7 days−$2,173
14 days−$3,474
30 days−$4,365
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $501 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $303 +$16 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1,401 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $505 +$78 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $504 +$67 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $901 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $503 +$52 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $501 −$501 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1,101 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $790 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $601 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $501 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $601 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $763 +$30 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $902 +$27 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1,228 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $306 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $502 +$32 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1,006 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $644 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $631 +$17 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1,001 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $420 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $501 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $505 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $501 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $601 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1,001 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1,101 +$18 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6,000
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $14 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $501 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $600 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $319 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $303 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $600 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $901 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $501 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $505 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $504 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $901 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $503 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $501 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $601 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $43 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $48 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $600 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $601 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $501 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $601 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $600 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $600 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $251 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $512 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $401 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 207 -4.8% -13.8% 90% 9% -12.1%
≤30d 640 -2.2% -11.5% 77% 36% -12.6%
≤90d 684 -3.2% -12.4% 75% 37% -13.5%
all 684 -3.2% -12.4% 75% 37% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 37% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 20% -21.8%
15% -28.4% 11% -29.3%
20% -35.5% 6% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records