trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -6.8% | -15.6% | 33% | 33% | -16.2% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -6.8% | -15.6% | 33% | 33% | -16.2% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -6.8% | -15.6% | 33% | 33% | -16.2% |
| all | 21 | -6.8% | -15.6% | 33% | 33% | -16.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.6% | 33% | -16.2% |
| 10% | -23.7% | 33% | -24.2% |
| 15% | -31.1% | 33% | -31.5% |
| 20% | -37.8% | 29% | -38.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $4 | +$2 (+96%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +262% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +57% |
| Sweden to score first vs. Tunisia? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$3 | +291% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +95% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$3 | +250% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +172% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$2 | -72% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |