Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb70…f963
sports · 73 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$278 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$294 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized+$294
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses28 / 41
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)69 / 73
History coverage190d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 3 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$34
30 days+$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 57¢ 44¢ $60 $47 −$13 (-21%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-58%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jannik Sinner 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 20? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Gaimin Gladiators 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A Legacy 10¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A G2 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Rafael Jodar 7¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $22 −$2 -9%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2,191 +$21 +1%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $50 +$7 +13%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +163%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rat Jun 04 $21 +$11 +54%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin Jun 04 $462 +$17 +4%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $5 −$5 -97%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $135 −$10 -7%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $17 −$8 -50%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 1? Jun 02 $11 +$2 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 1? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -76%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 1? Jun 01 $6 −$5 -79%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 01 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 01 $10 +$3 +25%
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1,210 +$13 +1%
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? May 31 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $10 −$1 -5%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $6 −$1 -16%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $10 +$1 +7%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $673 +$3 +0%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $5 +$5 +105%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5 May 30 $5 −$5 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $15 −$3 -21%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $47 +$13 +27%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? May 29 $41 −$3 -8%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 29 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $10 −$8 -74%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? May 27 $119 +$52 +44%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic May 27 $1 $0 -34%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 27 $20 −$1 -3%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 27 $5 $0 +5%
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? May 26 $9 +$7 +87%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 26 $13 +$31 +238%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 26 $3 $0 -5%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $200 −$3 -2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships G May 22 $13 −$13 -98%
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? May 21 $2 $0 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 20? May 21 $10 +$11 +115%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 20 $5 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 20? May 20 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 13 $88 −$12 -14%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 13 $334 +$45 +14%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 13 $49 −$10 -20%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score May 06 $16 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Apr 30 $2 −$2 -94%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% +$258
sports 13% +$1
politics 7% +$40
culture 1% −$2
weather 0% −$2
crypto 0% +$1
tech 0% −$10
economics 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 34m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $1 37m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 56¢ $23 46m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 42¢ $10 52m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 23¢ $4 55m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 49¢ $3 59m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 59¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 15¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 18¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 82¢ $19 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 11¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 84¢ $20 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $2,191 20h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 21h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 21h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 21h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 21h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 21h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 26h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 96¢ $20 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 88¢ $50 26h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $13 26h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win o BUY 5¢ $3 29h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 3¢ $4 2d
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rat SELL Yes 72¢ $32 9d
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin SELL Yes 58¢ $11 9d
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Gaimin Gladiators 6¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -16.9% -24.8% 57% 29% -8.8%
≤30d 44 -11.5% -19.9% 45% 30% -7.7%
≤90d 57 -16.9% -24.8% 42% 28% -6.3%
all 69 -16.5% -24.5% 41% 28% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.5% 28% -6.3%
10% -31.7% 19% -15.2%
15% -38.3% 13% -23.4%
20% -44.4% 10% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.84 · official $48.84 (match) · 515 history records