Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:51:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
CB 0xcb68…abab crypto 875 markets active 1h ago coverage 17d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (117 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$169 (-7%) realized −$169 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate38%333W / 542L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day117.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$138
14 days−$201
30 days−$307
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$307
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (117 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 -19.4% -27.1% 45% 39% -22.5%
≤30d 875 -12.3% -20.7% 38% 31% -19.9%
≤90d 875 -12.3% -20.7% 38% 31% -19.9%
all 875 -12.3% -20.7% 38% 31% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover117.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 31% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 22% -27.5%
15% -35.2% 17% -34.5%
20% -41.5% 13% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$169
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses333 / 542
Open positions0
Markets (closed)875 / 875
History coverage17d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day117.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 875 Trades
no open positions (146 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2213 history records