Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:54:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb5d…88ae
crypto · 851 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,894 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,953 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,953
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses407 / 444
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)851 / 851
History coverage574d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 851 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$226
14 days+$170
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$14 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$8 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$8 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$25 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$10 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$31 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$36 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$14 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$32 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$33 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$21 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$11 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 35% −$624
crypto 22% +$35
politics 20% −$733
other 13% −$473
economics 8% −$134
world 2% −$28
tech 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $25 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $13 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 +10.6% +0.1% 57% 57% +5.0%
≤30d 593 -3.5% -12.7% 48% 48% -8.6%
≤90d 669 -5.7% -14.7% 47% 46% -46.7%
all 851 -4.5% -13.6% 48% 47% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 47% -20.5%
10% -21.9% 45% -28.1%
15% -29.4% 43% -35.1%
20% -36.3% 41% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1461 history records