Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T12:15:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcb59…0f8c crypto 46 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$167 (-27%) realized −$167 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate59%27W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day46.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$161
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -16.5% -24.4% 59% 59% -33.1%
≤30d 46 -16.5% -24.4% 59% 59% -33.1%
≤90d 46 -16.5% -24.4% 59% 59% -33.1%
all 46 -16.5% -24.4% 59% 59% -33.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.4% 59% -33.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.7% 54% -39.5%
15% -38.3% 37% -45.3%
20% -44.3% 22% -50.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -26% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -19% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$15 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.45 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses27 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day46.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 46 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$8 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$23 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $36 +$10 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $24 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$8 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $36 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $17 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $23 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $16 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $36 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $12 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $20 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $24 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 73 history records