Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb57…1a20
crypto · 1255 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,014 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,014 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,014
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses916 / 353
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1269 / 1255
History coverage101d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1269 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$101
7 days−$111
14 days−$111
30 days−$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 60¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 79¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 86¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 86¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 84¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 92¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 78¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 79¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 67¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 78¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 81¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 66¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 82¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 80¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 89¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 82¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 88¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 81¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 81¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 75¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1739%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -1856%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -1919%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -278%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -2367%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$5 -666%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -586%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$924
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up $0 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up $0 38h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -22.2% -29.6% 67% 49% -27.4%
≤30d 319 -6.2% -15.2% 79% 69% -14.3%
≤90d 1077 -4.9% -14.0% 70% 48% -16.8%
all 1269 -3.4% -12.6% 72% 51% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 51% -14.9%
10% -21.0% 16% -23.0%
15% -28.6% 6% -30.4%
20% -35.6% 2% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records