Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:35:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcb56…24c9 crypto 253 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$10 (-0%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate34%87W / 166L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day82.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -3.1% -12.3% 34% 33% -6.9%
≤30d 253 -3.1% -12.3% 34% 33% -6.9%
≤90d 253 -3.1% -12.3% 34% 33% -6.9%
all 253 -3.1% -12.3% 34% 33% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover82.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 33% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 32% -15.8%
15% -28.4% 30% -24.0%
20% -35.4% 26% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late +8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$8 · ×2.02 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.06 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses87 / 166
Open positions0
Markets (closed)253 / 253
History coverage5d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day82.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 253 Trades
no open positions (151 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $57 +$47 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$9 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$58 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$6 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$9 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$33 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $22 +$13 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$22 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $28 −$27 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$58 +289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $49 −$48 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $37 +$10 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $36 −$13 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $48 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$16 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $24 +$73 +302%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $48 −$48 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$11 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$7 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$19 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$22 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $32 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $18 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$35 +346%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $22 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 504 history records