Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:39:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb45…0cad
sports · 103 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,927 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,359 · open +$432
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31,592
Realized−$6,359
Unrealized+$432
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses54 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$756
Open positions25
Markets (closed)78 / 103
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,077
Trades / day443.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 25 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,359
7 days−$6,359
14 days−$6,359
30 days−$6,359
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 76¢ $2,162 $2,616 +$454 (+21%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Haiti 80¢ 93¢ $2,200 $2,549 +$349 (+16%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 74¢ 86¢ $2,170 $2,512 +$341 (+16%)
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Scotland 95¢ 100¢ $2,200 $2,317 +$117 (+5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 94¢ 99¢ $1,966 $2,067 +$101 (+5%)
Scotland leading at halftime? Yes 74¢ 100¢ $1,492 $2,005 +$514 (+34%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 72¢ $1,911 $1,889 −$22 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 78¢ 72¢ $2,044 $1,873 −$172 (-8%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 71¢ 100¢ $1,243 $1,752 +$509 (+41%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 66¢ $1,146 $1,406 +$260 (+23%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 81¢ 81¢ $1,371 $1,379 +$7 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Yes 52¢ 40¢ $1,416 $1,075 −$341 (-24%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 70¢ 64¢ $1,100 $998 −$101 (-9%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 91¢ 88¢ $816 $791 −$25 (-3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score No 61¢ 60¢ $786 $778 −$8 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 88¢ 96¢ $712 $772 +$61 (+9%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 76¢ 78¢ $730 $749 +$19 (+3%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $648 $664 +$16 (+3%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $455 $450 −$5 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 54¢ 34¢ $725 $448 −$276 (-38%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 65¢ 64¢ $452 $447 −$5 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 37¢ 36¢ $375 $366 −$8 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Under 96¢ 100¢ $351 $364 +$13 (+4%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Over 95¢ 100¢ $329 $347 +$18 (+5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Under 19¢ 28¢ $155 $232 +$77 (+50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2,218 −$2,218 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2,231 +$1,609 +72%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2,215 +$608 +28%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $298 −$298 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $154 −$154 -100%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 14 $147 +$25 +17%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1,325 +$42 +3%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 14 $427 +$5 +1%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $541 +$16 +3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2,937 −$2,302 -78%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2,211 −$4 -0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $897 +$9 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $537 −$537 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1,300 +$101 +8%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $1,816 +$137 +8%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $2,214 +$621 +28%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $749 −$749 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2,117 −$1,279 -60%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $160 +$95 +60%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $208 +$134 +65%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $448 +$66 +15%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $836 +$192 +23%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $145 +$102 +70%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $295 +$216 +73%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $300 +$355 +119%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $678 +$79 +12%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $1,662 +$1,019 +61%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $433 +$80 +18%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $327 −$8 -2%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $146 −$146 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $656 +$33 +5%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,506 −$2,506 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $781 +$167 +21%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $337 −$337 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $1,094 −$369 -34%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $632 +$104 +16%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $302 +$212 +70%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $541 −$292 -54%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $530 +$329 +62%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $614 +$620 +101%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2,437 −$1,446 -59%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $2,521 −$2,521 -100%
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Jun 13 $267 +$1 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $374 +$4 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $939 +$73 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2,522 −$933 -37%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $2,535 −$416 -16%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2,536 −$388 -15%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $2,555 +$165 +6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2,509 +$357 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$3,850
other 16% −$2,077
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 73¢ $81 1m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 83¢ $195 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 71¢ $145 2m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 73¢ $284 5m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 96¢ $354 5m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 70¢ $243 5m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 63¢ $152 6m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 97¢ $225 6m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 69¢ $271 9m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 70¢ $263 12m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $389 15m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $284 15m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $389 15m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $273 16m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 62¢ $248 17m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 63¢ $159 17m
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 81¢ $149 20m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $157 21m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 45¢ $181 23m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $150 24m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $184 25m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $165 26m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 58¢ $148 33m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 94¢ $278 35m
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $462 37m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $2,823 39m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $3,840 39m
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 95¢ $288 53m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 93¢ $156 58m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $158 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 +2.3% -7.5% 69% 45% -16.7%
≤30d 78 +2.3% -7.5% 69% 45% -16.7%
≤90d 78 +2.3% -7.5% 69% 45% -16.7%
all 78 +2.3% -7.5% 69% 45% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover443.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 45% -16.7%
10% -16.3% 35% -24.7%
15% ← realistic here -24.4% 23% -32.0%
20% -31.8% 18% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31,591.81 · official $31,592.12 (match) · 537 history records